Good Sunday everyone,
I hope you’re enjoying your weekend. To ensure you stay ahead of the curve in both the stock and crypto markets, your SmartReversals subscription delivers three structured publications every week. Access them via the links below:
Wednesdays: Fundamental Analysis & Market Intelligence We analyze market structure, long-term patterns, and provide special reports on the stock and crypto markets. Last Wednesday, I analyzed the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, comparing current price action to previous bull markets that featured rapid bounces and similar breadth signals. That publication alone is worth the price of this month’s subscription. Inside, I set the price targets for SPX and NDX through 2026. Consider the accuracy of my previous analysis: a year ago, I projected a bull market top of $6,109 and later a correction target of $4,850. The market set the top at $6,147 in February 2025 and bottomed at $4,835 in April. (See below: Stage of the Market).
Fridays: Support & Resistance Levels Actionable levels for the week ahead, covering 44 securities (list below). My watchlist is consistent yet diverse, offering opportunities for rotation into both long and short positions. Premium subscribers use these levels to validate moves, starting with the Central Weekly Level (CWL), a simple metric where momentum is bullish above and bearish below, and the respective layers of support and resistance are provided.
Weekends: The Weekly Compass Our most comprehensive technical publication, mapping U.S. Indices, Mega-caps, Metals, Bitcoin, Volatility, and key breadth indicators. It features the Momentum Map, which organizes all securities into one visual, making it easy to spot bullish or bearish bias. This publication now includes a ranked list of the highest probability trades for the week ahead.
Plus, as a paid subscriber, you can suggest custom weekly support and resistance levels for U.S. exchange-traded securities of your choice!
Use the links below to access this week’s analysis, including the access to the chat for the personalized securities requested by paid subscribers.
Stage of the Market: SPX and NDX
In August and September, I posted special analyses regarding the rare instances when the SPX and NDX staged a V-shaped recovery. Back then, premium subscribers saw how -5% pullbacks played out for the SPX and -7% on average for the Nasdaq. While the timing of such pullbacks has varied over the decades, today we will study the current market situation and price targets for both the NDX and SPX using updated charts.
Technicals Beat Sentiment - Validating the Bounce
Last week, the Weekly Compass correctly anticipated a market bounce by looking past the noise. While sentiment was excessively bearish, the data told a different story: oversold breadth, price action, and volatility metrics all aligned with key support lines often visited during this type of bull markets. As discussed in Wednesday’s market intelligence report, while price history never repeats exactly, professional analysis reveals that technical patterns often do, and this time it was no different.
Weekly Bounce as Technicals Favored
Last week, this publication, the Weekly Compass highlighted bullish signals suggesting a bounce, and on Wednesday, I posted an updated analysis on the current market stage. Both publications examined the critical importance of the 20 week average for this specific type of bull market and specific oversold indicators.
This publication consistently analyzes the following securities to provide a broad market perspective and empower your trading decisions:
Indices & Futures: SPX, NDX, DJI, IWM, ES=F, NQ=F
ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SMH, TLT, GLD, SLV, DIA, SH, PSQ
Major Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, NVDA, META, TSLA, BRK.B, LLY, WMT, AVGO, COST, JPM, PLTR, NFLX
Crypto & Related: Bitcoin, ETH, IBIT, MSTR
Leveraged ETFs: TQQQ, SQQQ, UDOW, SDOW, UPRO, SPXS, URTY, SRTY
Unlock all the content upgrading the subscription to the paid plan.
For next week, the securities suggested by paid subscribers are:
VXX, TSM, RTY=F, DAX, CRDO, GEV, SBUX, OKLO, CRWV, MELI, QLD, SSO, BITO, AAOI, BE, ALAB, TSMC, ILF, SYM, BMNR, TMDX, BETR, IMPP, RCL, VST, PSIX, ABNB, ARM, ADBE, SPOT, ANET, BABA, ELV, CCJ, SUN, SLB, ONDS, IREN, PAAS, CAT, METU, MAGS, SOXL, BITX, SLON, TSLL, HIMS, ORCL, COIN, UNH, KVUE, FXI, KBA, UWM, QBTS, SMCL.
The weekly S/R levels are already posted in the paid subscribers chat:
Visit my market research and educational content, which includes special studies on market tops, breadth signals, the Bitcoin cycle, and market overextensions. The collection also covers options, technical indicators, fundamental analysis, trading psychology, and macroeconomics. This content alone is worth the annual subscription, it is updated constantly:
Have a good rest of the weekend.
The content provided on SmartReveals.com is for educational and informational purposes only. All analyses, research, commentary, and other materials are intended to help users understand financial markets, investment concepts, and company fundamentals. This content does not constitute investment or any type of advice. The support and resistance levels are modeled references to manage risk and anticipate potential reversals, each investor must assess their own risk tolerance to set stops.
My only communication channel with you is via email, and the Substack chat, I don’t use Telegram, WhatsApp or any other communication method.
