Is the Stock Market Overheated? A Healthy Pullback on the Horizon?
Stock Market Update including the technical charts for SPX, NDX, VIX, PLTR, TSLA, GLD, and a crucial Breadth Indicator.
It's been three weeks since the breadth thrust signal was triggered on April 24th, and five weeks since the New York Stock Exchange registered a rare bullish signal on April 9th. Both events were analyzed in real-time, including their statistical significance, the most relevant technical charts, and setups from previous years. Since each signal, the S&P 500 has rallied by 7.8% and 7.3% respectively, suggesting the stock market consolidated its launchpad around the $5,460 zone.
For new premium subscribers, the following publications provided in-depth analysis of these events, featuring charts and key price thresholds:
These three publications not only assessed the risk-reward at the time but are also more educational than a book. Their recent technical charts allow you to recall the emotions you might have felt then, something absent when reading charts from distant events like 1987, 2000, 2008, 2018, 2020, or 2022 – all of which were also analyzed, highlighting the bottoming and bullish indicators present at those times and in April 2025. These publications alone justify the premium subscription.
In the Zweig Breadth Thrust edition from April 26th, I highlighted:
Confusion, frustration, rejection – these are just some of the reactions I've observed when this signal appears in the market. If this is your first time encountering it, I hope you quickly adjust your market perspective. Before starting smartreversals.com, I shared the signal from November 3rd on my X account, and the some reactions were filled with denial.
It is totally human and understandable if you hesitated, in the end, such signal has happened 20 times since 1950. Today’s publication will be focused on the probabilities of a pullback and a buying opportunity.
Before we continue, please take a moment to check out yesterday evening's Crypto-focused publication. It included analysis on Ethereum, considering its recent rally, as well as Bitcoin and XRP. Crypto enthusiasts, if you'd like to see more of this content, please show your interest with a like on this publication. Click here.
Last but not least, I’m using the premium subscriber’s chat with more frequency. Last Monday I posted a market update following the squeeze anticipated on Saturday. Make sure to use the chat:
Today’s market builds on the Support and Resistance Levels shared last Saturday, and includes an updated price position among those levels:
Let’s begin.
SPX - Two days in a row rejected by $5,897, the level mentioned on Monday in the paid subscribers chat 🎯