Another highly successful week has come to a close. The high-probability setups posted last week played out with an impressive success rate, hitting our price targets with high accuracy:
DIA: Reached the bearish target of 522 for a -2.2% move 🎯
SPY: Crossed the bearish target of 761.8 for a -1.1% move 🎯
AMD: Comfortably exceeded the 504 target for a +5.5% move 🎯
VXX: Spiked well above 18.5 for a +4.4% move 🎯
AVGO: Touched 373 for a +4.2% move 🎯
META: Reached the bullish target of 660 for a +7.1% move 🎯
SPCX: Made it to 154.1 for a +4.2% move 🎯
XOM: Invalidated the bearish thesis by recovering 161.3 (a +1.1% move)
WMT: Invalidated the bullish thesis by losing 106.4 (a -0.7% move)
GLD: Stayed below the invalidation level (-0.3% move)
Performance Summary:
7 successful trades reached their targets, averaging a 4.1% gain.
3 invalidated trades breached their invalidation levels for an average move of 0.7%.
Unlock Next Week’s Levels
Unlock the levels for next week covering our entire watchlist. These levels are modeled fresh every Friday to give you the precise information needed to assess risk and reward before the market opens on Monday.
You do not have to wait for the opening bell to map out your plan or choose which securities to trade. Here, you have the exact distances to essential levels and setups indicating whether they will act as support or resistance well in advance, allowing you to make calm, informed decisions ahead of Monday morning.
Our Core Watchlist:
Indices & Futures: SPX, NDX, DJI, IWM, ES=F, NQ=F
ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SMH, TLT, GLD, SLV, DIA, VXX
Major Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, NVDA, META, TSLA, BRK.B, LLY, WMT, AVGO, COST, JPM, XOM, PLTR, NFLX, V, AMD
Crypto & Related: Bitcoin, Ethereum, ETHA, IBIT
Leveraged ETFs: TQQQ, SQQQ, UDOW, SDOW, UPRO, SPXS, URTY, SRTY
What You Get as a Paid Subscriber
When you upgrade to the paid plan, you unlock three core publications each week, along with exclusive member benefits:
→Wednesday: Market Intelligence and fundamental analyses.
→Friday: Support and Resistance Levels for the week ahead.
→Saturday: The Weekly Compass, featuring an in-depth technical immersion.
In addition to our weekly publishing schedule, your membership includes three immediate advantages:
→ Instant Ebook Access: Download my two foundational technical analysis ebooks directly from the Market Intelligence Library. (click here)
→Daily SPX & ES=F Levels: Receive daily levels assessing short-term momentum and potential reversal signals.
→Customized Level Modeling: Every Sunday, submit your watchlist stocks in the paid subscriber chat. Their specific institutional levels are modeled for the week ahead and published directly to the site.
All content is available at SmartReversals.com.
Perks for ALL Paid Subscribers:
When you upgrade to the paid plan, you unlock two immediate advantages:
Instant access to download my two ebooks on technical analysis. Includes all my Market Intelligence and educational library.
Customized Level Modeling: Every Sunday, you can post the stocks of your interest in the paid subscribers chat, and their specific WEEKLY institutional levels are modeled for the week ahead and published directly to the paid site. (Founding Members Receive the customized MONTHLY levels as well)
Founding Members
Subscribers in this tier receive a daily downloadable file at 6PM featuring key levels for all tickers in our regular watchlist, plus an expanded watchlist covering 40 additional popular tickers. This package includes a comprehensive daily market analysis, an expanded Watchlist Tracker, and SmartScreener results delivered every Sunday to prepare you for the week ahead. The customized Weekly and Monthly Levels are downloadable. All of this is updated in one place: the Founding Members Exchange Hub.
Next week brings the FOMC meeting, where the Federal Reserve will decide whether to raise or maintain interest rates amid persistent inflation and resilient labor data. Higher or sustained interest rates make bonds and fixed-income assets more attractive to institutional investors, which can trigger market turbulence. That is why using clear references to set targets and protect capital, like these levels, is essential.
Keep in mind that ES Futures are losing bullish momentum by dropping below the 5week moving average and printing a bearish MACD crossover. Similar setups have been followed by increased volatility, with the price eventually pulling back toward the 20-week moving average. This week, only the 10-week moving average was tested. The weekly support and resistance levels for the futures are also listed below, along with their bearish targets if the central zone is lost. Additionally, the daily plan for Monday is included here for SPX and ES=F with narrower levels.
Today’s Content:
Key Learnings This Week
Weekly Levels for the Watchlist
Monthly Levels for the Watchlist
Combined Levels
Daily Plan for Monday (SPX and ES=F)
Key Learnings This Week
We examined real-life charts and introduced the daily Watchlist Tracker, giving paid subscribers a live view of our watchlist status. This institutional-level approach pays off: a 7:3 success rate speaks for itself, and the daily educational content served as reliable guidance. We will do the same thing next week.
Throughout the week, we studied how to utilize the Setups Blueprint and the modeled support and resistance levels that drive these targets. 7 Key takeaways to bookmark and have next to your screen include: