Relevant Bearish Signals Take the Lead

Why current price action suggests a structural correction is likely

Back in November 2025, I published a special study outlining our primary bullish target for 2026: 7,470 on the SPX. Today, that exact mark has been reached, defying the widespread pessimism observed back in March. That analysis was rooted entirely in documented technical patterns, with zero gut feeling involved.

Last Wednesday, our Market Intelligence study provided a clear roadmap for what to expect over the next few months, and Friday’s reversal appears to strongly validate the thesis we laid out.

Furthermore, back on March 28, this publication highlighted the high probability of a bounce. By disciplined tracking of our weekly SPX levels and key technical indicators, we successfully navigated a 16%+ rally using one simple rule: remain bullish above the Central Weekly Level, while monitoring broader technical conditions.

Today, the price action has printed a significant structural signal, and we will navigate it with that same rigorous discipline. Unlike on March 28, when the market was severely oversold and technical indicators signaled a bottom, today the market is entering heavily overbought territory, and a critical level looks set to be breached heading into next week.

Alongside the broader indices, we continue to navigate individual equity setups. This past week, our price targets for JPM, TSLA, and AAPL were all hit with precision. Reversals for IBIT, V, and MSFT unfolded as anticipated, and capital protection protocols were triggered for LLY and XOM. That brings our weekly track record to six accurate moves versus two that went in the opposite direction but were protected by our risk parameters. Because every setup I present includes clear price targets and invalidation levels, subscribers can easily use them as a reference to set stop-losses tailored to their own risk tolerance.

In today’s edition, we will study a combination of long-term macro trends alongside high-probability, near-term tactical moves. Upgrade to the premium paid plan now to unlock all the exclusive content and over 20 charts with clear facts and price targets.

This is about navigating the market with informed, data-driven decisions, not about simply being a bull or a bear.

Today’s Agenda

• Market Context: Charts and price levels for SPX, U.S. Indices, Volatility, Breadth, and Crypto.

• The Momentum Map: Analyzing the stage of Indices, the Magnificent Seven, Crypto, and other megacaps in one easy-to-read chart.

• Setups Blueprint: All setups condensed with price targets and invalidation levels for all the securities in the watchlist prioritizing high probability setups.

• Deep Dive: Individual analysis of Metals and Mega Caps (20+ charts).

Let’s begin,

Market Context - SPX - Major Price Action Signal:

On Wednesday, we studied how consolidations and pullbacks are likely when the price reaches overbought conditions, the publication was named “Why Bears Should Stand Ready”, this is the likely move coming: