Tech Leads Rebound as 2025 Winds Down
High-Probability Setups Achieved 80% Success Rate this Week
Volatility is unfolding following the rate cut as anticipated. We previously forecasted that the two weeks following the move would be choppy, and that has certainly been the case.
On a positive note, the S&P 500 filled the gap at $6,776.4 as expected. This is a constructive development given the bullish probabilities for the days ahead, and our upside target (shared three weeks ago) remains on the horizon. The documented target analysis for SPX and NDX can be found here:
Today’s publication focuses on Support and Resistance levels for the week ahead. These levels are modeled in advance of price action and have demonstrated their predictive power to premium subscribers for nearly two years.
I use these levels to define the specific ‘Bullish above / Bearish below’ bias and to set targets: bullish setups aim for the next resistance, while bearish setups aim for the next support. This directional bias is grounded in the technical analysis posted on Saturdays. Notably, the success rate of our high-probability setups reached 80% this week (including the PLTR trade, once it recovered the Central Weekly Level and bullish momentum returned)
Performance of this week’s high-probability setups:
🎯 TSLA - Bullish Setup Reaching the Second Target
🎯 BRK.B - Bullish Target Reached followed by a reversal from the target
🎯 LLY - Bullish Target Reached
❌ NFLX - Bullish Setup Invalidated
❌ COST - Bullish Setup Invalidated
🎯 IWM - Bearish Setup Validated
🎯 AMD - Bearish Setup Validated
🎯 NVDA - Bearish Setup Validated and bullish reversal from the target
🎯 PLTR - Volatile: Initially lost the CWL, then rebounded to exceed target
🎯 SPX - Gap Filled
These setups were forecasted last weekend, anchored by the levels shared in this publication. This marks our fourth consecutive week of high accuracy. Make sure to subscribe before 2026! Prices won’t change for current premium subscribers.
This publication consistently analyzes the following securities to provide a broad market perspective and empower your trading decisions:
Indices & Futures: SPX, NDX, DJI, IWM, ES=F, NQ=F
ETFs: SPY, QQQ, SMH, TLT, GLD, SLV, DIA, SH, PSQ
Major Stocks: AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, NVDA, META, TSLA, BRK.B, LLY, WMT, AVGO, COST, JPM, PLTR, NFLX
Crypto & Related: Bitcoin, ETH, IBIT, MSTR
Leveraged ETFs: TQQQ, SQQQ, UDOW, SDOW, UPRO, SPXS, URTY, SRTY
Each weekend the high probability setups are highlighted, and if you like a lot one of these securities they are regularly analyzed anyway.
For educational content on Support and Resistance levels, visit my Market Intelligence Library, all the content here alone is worth the subscription. Visit the S/R levels in section 3. Identifying Setups:
As usual, we analyze the weekly, monthly and combined levels for all the securities mentioned above, and when you’re a paid subscriber you can suggest additional stocks for analysis commenting below this post, sending me a DM, or in the paid subscribers chat before Sunday noon N.Y. Time, they’re posted on Sundays.
Last week premium subscribers suggested ORCL, IREN, VXX, TSM, CRWD, TSM, and many more securities, suggest yours!
WEEKLY LEVELS