Turning Technical Tools into Consistent Results
Consistency Over Perfection: A Mid-Week Blueprint Review
U.S. equities finished the midweek session essentially flat, marked by a historic intraday move in which the S&P 500 briefly crossed the 7,000 level for the first time. The benchmark index ultimately faded to settle unchanged like the Dow Jones, and the Nasdaq 100 gained 0.32%. Market participants digested the Federal Reserve’s widely expected decision to hold interest rates steady.
The S&P 500 remained muted not only today but also throughout November and December, showing net moves of just 0.13% and 0.05% respectively. As mentioned weeks ago, the real opportunities right now are found in individual names rather than the broad indices and for that reason I keep track of a specific list of megacaps and securities with high daily volume.
Today, we are reviewing the status of this week’s anticipated setups. The results continue strong this week as well: 4 out of 8 have already hit their price targets, three are actively trending toward their destinations, and only one has been invalidated, triggering the specific stop-loss reference level.
Beyond these highlights, my complete toolkit includes a dashboard with 34 easy to read setups. The vast majority of these are also moving according to our initial analysis.
Those setups alone pay the subscription, the cumulated 70% accuracy rate continues.
The bullish expectation posted on Saturday for the Standard & Poor’s was correct, the index surpassed the $6,970 target, crossing $7,000 and all-time highs for a moment. This level serves as a reference to close short-term positions if breached.
For the Nasdaq (NDX), the projected move to $25,892.1 (+1.1%) happened yesterday, and the extended target of $26,178.7 was met today (check the impressive precision). Price reversed upon reaching that second target zone. Similarly, the Qs reached our extended target of $636. The SPY target of $694.7 remains the reference line to measure continued momentum.
Regarding individual names, META met the bullish expectation. The target of $683.5 (+3.8%) was surpassed following the earnings report, and the extended target of $708.2 (+7.5%) is being reached.
MSFT also followed the bullish anticipation, surpassing the $478.5 (+2.7%) target. AMZN met its $244.1 (+2.1%) target. The price surpassed this level before declining, offering an opportunity to close positions. High-probability setups also include bearish positions, as seen with LLY; the setup targeted $1021.5 for a -4% move. Since price breached this target and reversed, we will analyze the current context below to determine the next steps.
Beyond the high-probability list, I provide analysis for the full universe of securities. For example, the bullish expectation for NVDA targeted $182.3 (+2.5%). This level marked today’s high, achieved despite daily indecision. Similarly, the bullish setup for TSLA targeted 461.8 (+2.9%).
A critical feature of the weekly setups for 34 securities is the specific reference level for risk management. If a setup is invalidated, this price point dictates the exit. PLTR serves as a prime example: My bullish setup targeted $174 (+2.6%) –$178 (+5.2%) with an invalidation level of $167. When the price retraced and breached $167.6 on Monday, the risk was contained to just -1.2%, protecting paid subscribers to a -7.2% selloff.
This demonstrates the value of combining directional analysis with professional support and resistance levels to manage performance. Other setups are also tracking expectations: IWM, BRK.B and WMT are validating the bearish expectations. Conversely, AAPL triggered its key level and rallied, NVDA is in the green as anticipated reaching $192.3 as anticipated.
We will examine below how to utilize the S/R Levels posted every Friday and the Blueprint of Setups posted on Saturday, using charts for SPY, QQQ, META, LLY, IWM, MSFT, and VIX as case studies.
The secret to consistent performance isn’t finding a “new” stock every day, it’s mastering the ones that matter the most. We permanently track the market’s Megacaps and leaders to give you a broad market perspective. This constant focus allows you to catch the capital rotation before the crowd does and pinpoint the perfect time to enter.
We Cover:
Indices: SPX, NDX, DJI, IWM, ES=F, NQ=F
Majors: AAPL, MSFT, GOOG, AMZN, NVDA, META, TSLA, BRK.B, LLY, WMT, AVGO, COST, JPM, PLTR, NFLX
ETFs & Commodities: SPY, QQQ, SMH, TLT, GLD, SLV, DIA, SH, PSQ
Crypto: Bitcoin, ETH, IBIT, MSTR
Leveraged: TQQQ, SQQQ, UDOW, SDOW, UPRO, SPXS, URTY, SRTY
Ensure you have the right tools to navigate the current market.
Interested in a different set of names, such as SHOP, ORCL, or TSM? Paid subscribers can suggest analysis for up to 5 specific stocks each weekend, receiving custom modeled levels for the week ahead in the paid subscribers chat!
Below is the guide on how to read the Friday Support and Resistance Levels. Note that I include a group of leveraged ETFs specifically for high-conviction moments.
Let’s continue.