V-Shaped Surge Aligns with my Forecasted 2026 SPX Target
Special Study: Analyzing 55 Years of Historical Price Gaps
Back in November 2025, I posted a special study on the likely 2026 targets for the S&P 500 (SPX) and the NASDAQ 100 (NDX). The thesis indicated targets above the current all-time highs of 7,023 reached today for the SPX. During the recent months of volatility, I also posted special studies indicating that pullbacks and corrections are normal during bull markets before the major tops are reached; that is exactly what we are seeing right now. The link to that November study about target is here:
Stage of the Market: SPX and NDX Price Targets
I share high-probability trades and technical analysis on Fridays, Saturdays, and Sundays including special levels for paid subscribers, and I also post on Wednesdays, focusing on fundamental analysis and special market intelligence assessments. These are my must-read publications for both long-term investors and traders.
For today, I am releasing a special publication analyzing gaps. What technical structure is present when a gap remains unfilled? There are over 19 gaps in the SPX since 1970 that have never been filled. Today, I am going to decode the similarities and differences between those historical gaps and the one we have right now.
High Probability Setups
Before continuing, my high probability setups are delivering and exceeding the expected results, last Saturday I anticipated the relevance of $6,816 for the SPX, and how likely would be for the bullish setups to perform if the index conquered that level.
The results are strong:
First, NVIDIA (NVDA) had a bullish target of $194.5 for a 3.1% gain; currently, the weekly gain stands at 5.4%.
I also indicated Apple (AAPL), which had a bullish setup with a target of $266 for a 2.3% gain; so far this week, the stock has gained 2.3%.
Another high-probability note was for QQQ, highlighting $623.7 for a 2.1% gain and an extended target of $636.3 for a 4.1% gain. Right now, that weekly move accounts for 4.3%.
I also highlighted the high likelihood of bullish reversals for Palantir (PLTR), Tesla (TSLA), and Visa (V). Palantir is currently rallying 11% this week, Tesla is up 12%, and Visa has rallied 3.8%. All three were identified as high-probability reversals.
I posted bullish setups for JPM and LLY, their targets have not been reached, JPM remains above the key weekly level; if the central weekly level of $304 is lost, that will trigger a cut of the position (my daily levels help to anticipate these type of moves), in the case of LLY the reference for stop losses at $933 was breached, so capital was protected avoiding a further -3% move.
Finally, Bitcoin is also looking constructive for the week; I presented the reasons for a bullish move, and so far, Bitcoin has gained 5.6% this week.
That’s 7 out of 9 securities moving as anticipated = 77% success rate.
Don’t hesitate, market conditions remain favorable, and while consolidations are likely, we will break down probabilities today. Upgrading your subscription is a no-brainer.
Now, let’s begin this special study and market update.
SPX $6,618: Decoding the Rarity of the Unfilled Gap
Using the same approach that documented the December 2024 selloff toward $4,800, and the same logic I presented a month ago, highlighting that a major top was unlikely because pullbacks and corrections are normal, I will now detail the likely outcome for this gap and the projected course for the SPX.
Let’s begin.
SPX - Setups for Gaps Unfilled - What to Expect: