Economic indicators are crucial for investors, providing a compass to navigate the health of the economy and anticipate market shifts. By understanding these signals, you can make more informed decisions and strategically adjust your portfolio. This analysis delves into key U.S. economic indicators, categorized into three groups: leading, coincident, and lagging, offering a comprehensive view of the current economic landscape. This edition includes over 17 macroeconomic charts with clear definitions and actionable insights – a valuable resource to print or bookmark.
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Let’s begin with the macro update.
In February, this macro analysis warned well about the incoming bear market, we will study the same leading indicators that preceded the selloff observed from mid February to the beginning of April, assessing what is the state of the economy as of today including the most recent updates in GDP and inflation. This is based on numbers and charts only, after studying each indicator you will find the summary with conclusions. Let’s begin with the long term view for the SPX, the same one posted last February, there is an indicator back to overbought zone.